[FRIAM] What Is the Real Coronavirus Toll in Each State? - The New York Times

Frank Wimberly wimberly3 at gmail.com
Wed May 6 20:51:54 EDT 2020


FWIW the population density of New Mexico is 17/mile^2 and in India
1202/mile^2.

On Wed, May 6, 2020 at 4:13 PM uǝlƃ ☣ <gepropella at gmail.com> wrote:

> I don't think so. Doubling time (under non-ideal lockdown conditions)
> conflates density with the other measures. If a sparsely populated area has
> the same doubling time as a densely populated area, the doubling time graph
> might gloss over how *badly* the sparsely populated area is doing in
> controlling the spread. So, in order to really grok the doubling time
> graphs, you have to have a feel for the relative densities. Feel free to
> correct my faulty thinking.
>
> I think the deltas (as in the graphs I've posted) are a good compromise.
> They're still in the same units (# of people) and show larger deltas for
> larger populations. However, I *would* like to divide out area (e.g. square
> meters) of whatever region's being plotted. I think Δcases/m^2 would be
> interesting.
>
> On 5/6/20 2:49 PM, thompnickson2 at gmail.com wrote:
> > Doesn’t doubling time handle that problem?
>
> > On 5/6/20 12:59 PM, Steven A Smith wrote:
> >>
> >> This just underscores how hard it is to make sense out of absolute
> numbers, or more to the point, numerators without denominators.    At least
> some of the charts of absolute numbers (as long as they are not
> renormalized from situation to situation) provide a visual estimation of
> "slope".
>
> --
> ☣ uǝlƃ
>
> .-. .- -. -.. --- -- -..-. -.. --- - ... -..-. .- -. -.. -..-. -.. .- ...
> .... . ...
> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Zoom Fridays 9:30a-12p Mtn GMT-6  bit.ly/virtualfriam
> unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com
> archives: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/
> FRIAM-COMIC <http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/FRIAM-COMIC>
> http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/
>


-- 
Frank Wimberly
140 Calle Ojo Feliz
Santa Fe, NM 87505
505 670-9918
-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://redfish.com/pipermail/friam_redfish.com/attachments/20200506/cff77d66/attachment.html>


More information about the Friam mailing list