[FRIAM] numbers

[George Duncan]

Agreed, Tom. Also, what does "increase" mean?

George Duncan
Emeritus Professor of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University
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My art theme: Dynamic exposition of the tension between matrix order and
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"Attempt what is not certain. Certainty may or may not come later. It may
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"It's that knife-edge of uncertainty where we come alive to our truest
power." Joanna Macy.




On Mon, Nov 2, 2020 at 9:11 AM Tom Johnson <tom at jtjohnson.com> wrote:

> Both numbers may be accurate but not particularly helpful bcs they lack
> context. One would have to start with, at least, a ratio of cases to some
> level of population, per 10,000 or 100,000,etc.
>
> It drives me nuts that the state's health department or somebody publishes
> daily cases by ZIP without showing the population of those ZIPs. And then
> newspapers like the New Mexican publish the case numbers without context.
> T.
>
> On Mon, Nov 2, 2020, 9:01 AM Prof David West <profwest at fastmail.fm> wrote:
>
>> Which is scarier?
>>
>>   -- 41 out of 50 states show an increase in COVID cases.
>>   -- 105 out of 3,141 counties show an increase in COVID cases.
>>
>> Which is more accurate?
>>
>> Which number should guide policy?
>>
>> davew
>>
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