[FRIAM] numbers

Barry MacKichan barry.mackichan at mackichan.com
Mon Nov 2 11:31:29 EST 2020


The other thing that has me tearing out my hair (really a serious 
problem at this point) is the maps where they shade the state or county 
by the cases or deaths relative to the population. The rates are 
correct, but a high rate in Elko County, Nevada hits you eye but the 
same rate in King County, New York (aka Manhattan) is almost invisible.
—Barry

On 2 Nov 2020, at 11:09, Tom Johnson wrote:

> Both numbers may be accurate but not particularly helpful bcs they 
> lack
> context. One would have to start with, at least, a ratio of cases to 
> some
> level of population, per 10,000 or 100,000,etc.
>
> It drives me nuts that the state's health department or somebody 
> publishes
> daily cases by ZIP without showing the population of those ZIPs. And 
> then
> newspapers like the New Mexican publish the case numbers without 
> context.
> T.
>
> On Mon, Nov 2, 2020, 9:01 AM Prof David West <profwest at fastmail.fm> 
> wrote:
>
>> Which is scarier?
>>
>>   -- 41 out of 50 states show an increase in COVID cases.
>>   -- 105 out of 3,141 counties show an increase in COVID cases.
>>
>> Which is more accurate?
>>
>> Which number should guide policy?
>>
>> davew
>>
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