[FRIAM] I am accepting wagers

[Gary Schiltz]

I don't agree with your premise that someone on this list could build the
website over a weekend. I do agree with the wager, that the federal
government will hire some large contracting firm and spend millions of
dollars, and it will still suck. I have the feeling that that is simply the
nature of the beast that is government.

On Sat, Mar 13, 2021 at 1:06 PM Prof David West <profwest at fastmail.fm>
wrote:

> Biden promised a Federal Website to give citizens easy an accurate access
> to vaccination appointments. Fully operational May 1, date that all
> Americans wishing a vaccine/vaccination will be able to obtain one.
>
> Assume 50,000 vaccination sites, 50, 15-minute, time slots per day and, at
> that time, a maximum of 150 million clients.
>
> There are several people on this list who, I believe, could build this
> Website over the course of a weekend, including UE (user experience)
> elements like Google Maps for site locations, and install it on a cloud
> server for volume scaling/descaling. Allow a month to collect data - the
> only thing really problematic is a list of sites, addresses, and
> operational hours (to constrain the daily calendar slots).
>
> Total cost: < $25,000 ($500 hr - you folks deserve this pay rate - for
> 40-50 hours)
>
> Now the wager: I bet that the feds will contract with a major software
> development corporation for development. Contract will be in the range of 5
> and 10 million dollars; there is a 50% chance the site will be late or
> deployed with partial functionality; there is a 20% chance that it will be
> as dramatic a failure upon debut as was the healthcare.gov site.
>
> Risk is two beverages of your/my choice — payable when next we can share a
> physical presence.
>
> davew
>
>
>
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