[FRIAM] I am accepting wagers

Roger Critchlow rec at elf.org
Sat Mar 13 13:56:12 EST 2021


Or the nature of the firms that compete for government contracts, or the
nature of software development.

Google classified this thread as spam.

-- rec --


On Sat, Mar 13, 2021 at 1:19 PM Gary Schiltz <gary at naturesvisualarts.com>
wrote:

> I don't agree with your premise that someone on this list could build the
> website over a weekend. I do agree with the wager, that the federal
> government will hire some large contracting firm and spend millions of
> dollars, and it will still suck. I have the feeling that that is simply the
> nature of the beast that is government.
>
> On Sat, Mar 13, 2021 at 1:06 PM Prof David West <profwest at fastmail.fm>
> wrote:
>
>> Biden promised a Federal Website to give citizens easy an accurate access
>> to vaccination appointments. Fully operational May 1, date that all
>> Americans wishing a vaccine/vaccination will be able to obtain one.
>>
>> Assume 50,000 vaccination sites, 50, 15-minute, time slots per day and,
>> at that time, a maximum of 150 million clients.
>>
>> There are several people on this list who, I believe, could build this
>> Website over the course of a weekend, including UE (user experience)
>> elements like Google Maps for site locations, and install it on a cloud
>> server for volume scaling/descaling. Allow a month to collect data - the
>> only thing really problematic is a list of sites, addresses, and
>> operational hours (to constrain the daily calendar slots).
>>
>> Total cost: < $25,000 ($500 hr - you folks deserve this pay rate - for
>> 40-50 hours)
>>
>> Now the wager: I bet that the feds will contract with a major software
>> development corporation for development. Contract will be in the range of 5
>> and 10 million dollars; there is a 50% chance the site will be late or
>> deployed with partial functionality; there is a 20% chance that it will be
>> as dramatic a failure upon debut as was the healthcare.gov site.
>>
>> Risk is two beverages of your/my choice — payable when next we can share
>> a physical presence.
>>
>> davew
>>
>>
>>
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