[FRIAM] hot streaks

[Roger Critchlow]

Open access at https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-25477-8

Across a range of creative domains, individual careers are characterized by
hot streaks, which are bursts of high-impact works clustered together in
close succession. Yet it remains unclear if there are any regularities
underlying the beginning of hot streaks. Here, we analyze career histories
of artists, film directors, and scientists, and develop deep learning and
network science methods to build high-dimensional representations of their
creative outputs. We find that across all three domains, individuals tend
to explore diverse styles or topics before their hot streak, but become
notably more focused after the hot streak begins. Crucially, hot streaks
appear to be associated with neither exploration nor exploitation behavior
in isolation, but a particular sequence of exploration followed by
exploitation, where the transition from exploration to exploitation closely
traces the onset of a hot streak. Overall, these results may have
implications for identifying and nurturing talents across a wide range of
creative domains.

via hacker news

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