[FRIAM] hot streaks

Stephen Guerin stephen.guerin at simtable.com
Mon Sep 13 14:59:58 EDT 2021


May be related to Barabasi's ideas of work (and many other phenomena)
coming in discrete clumps in his 2010 book "Bursts"

https://barabasi.com/book/bursts



On Mon, Sep 13, 2021, 12:16 PM Roger Critchlow <rec at elf.org> wrote:

> Open access at https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-25477-8
>
> Across a range of creative domains, individual careers are characterized
> by hot streaks, which are bursts of high-impact works clustered together in
> close succession. Yet it remains unclear if there are any regularities
> underlying the beginning of hot streaks. Here, we analyze career histories
> of artists, film directors, and scientists, and develop deep learning and
> network science methods to build high-dimensional representations of their
> creative outputs. We find that across all three domains, individuals tend
> to explore diverse styles or topics before their hot streak, but become
> notably more focused after the hot streak begins. Crucially, hot streaks
> appear to be associated with neither exploration nor exploitation behavior
> in isolation, but a particular sequence of exploration followed by
> exploitation, where the transition from exploration to exploitation closely
> traces the onset of a hot streak. Overall, these results may have
> implications for identifying and nurturing talents across a wide range of
> creative domains.
>
> via hacker news
>
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