[FRIAM] hot streaks

Frank Wimberly wimberly3 at gmail.com
Tue Sep 21 17:21:59 EDT 2021


It's preposterous to say that citations are worth $100,000 each.  That
makes me a multi-multi-millionaire.  Did you read the article, Roger?  What
can that possibly mean?

---
Frank C. Wimberly
140 Calle Ojo Feliz,
Santa Fe, NM 87505

505 670-9918
Santa Fe, NM

On Tue, Sep 21, 2021, 2:35 PM Roger Critchlow <rec at elf.org> wrote:

> Barabási is getting the Gelman treatment today:
>
>
> https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2021/09/21/albert-laszlo-barabasi-is-underpaid-by-a-lot/
>
> https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2021/09/21/more-on-that-claim-that-scientific-citations-are-worth-100000-each/
>
> Turns out that Gelman reviewed Bursts for Physics Today:
>
> https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2010/04/29/auto-gladwell_o/
>
> -- rec --
>
>
> On Mon, Sep 13, 2021 at 3:01 PM Stephen Guerin <
> stephen.guerin at simtable.com> wrote:
>
>> May be related to Barabasi's ideas of work (and many other phenomena)
>> coming in discrete clumps in his 2010 book "Bursts"
>>
>> https://barabasi.com/book/bursts
>>
>>
>>
>> On Mon, Sep 13, 2021, 12:16 PM Roger Critchlow <rec at elf.org> wrote:
>>
>>> Open access at https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-25477-8
>>>
>>> Across a range of creative domains, individual careers are characterized
>>> by hot streaks, which are bursts of high-impact works clustered together in
>>> close succession. Yet it remains unclear if there are any regularities
>>> underlying the beginning of hot streaks. Here, we analyze career histories
>>> of artists, film directors, and scientists, and develop deep learning and
>>> network science methods to build high-dimensional representations of their
>>> creative outputs. We find that across all three domains, individuals tend
>>> to explore diverse styles or topics before their hot streak, but become
>>> notably more focused after the hot streak begins. Crucially, hot streaks
>>> appear to be associated with neither exploration nor exploitation behavior
>>> in isolation, but a particular sequence of exploration followed by
>>> exploitation, where the transition from exploration to exploitation closely
>>> traces the onset of a hot streak. Overall, these results may have
>>> implications for identifying and nurturing talents across a wide range of
>>> creative domains.
>>>
>>> via hacker news
>>>
>>> -- rec --
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