[FRIAM] hot streaks

[Roger Critchlow]

Barabási is getting the Gelman treatment today:

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2021/09/21/albert-laszlo-barabasi-is-underpaid-by-a-lot/
https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2021/09/21/more-on-that-claim-that-scientific-citations-are-worth-100000-each/

Turns out that Gelman reviewed Bursts for Physics Today:

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2010/04/29/auto-gladwell_o/

-- rec --


On Mon, Sep 13, 2021 at 3:01 PM Stephen Guerin <stephen.guerin at simtable.com>
wrote:

> May be related to Barabasi's ideas of work (and many other phenomena)
> coming in discrete clumps in his 2010 book "Bursts"
>
> https://barabasi.com/book/bursts
>
>
>
> On Mon, Sep 13, 2021, 12:16 PM Roger Critchlow <rec at elf.org> wrote:
>
>> Open access at https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-25477-8
>>
>> Across a range of creative domains, individual careers are characterized
>> by hot streaks, which are bursts of high-impact works clustered together in
>> close succession. Yet it remains unclear if there are any regularities
>> underlying the beginning of hot streaks. Here, we analyze career histories
>> of artists, film directors, and scientists, and develop deep learning and
>> network science methods to build high-dimensional representations of their
>> creative outputs. We find that across all three domains, individuals tend
>> to explore diverse styles or topics before their hot streak, but become
>> notably more focused after the hot streak begins. Crucially, hot streaks
>> appear to be associated with neither exploration nor exploitation behavior
>> in isolation, but a particular sequence of exploration followed by
>> exploitation, where the transition from exploration to exploitation closely
>> traces the onset of a hot streak. Overall, these results may have
>> implications for identifying and nurturing talents across a wide range of
>> creative domains.
>>
>> via hacker news
>>
>> -- rec --
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