[FRIAM] deep weather

Roger Critchlow rec at elf.org
Wed Sep 29 17:36:41 EDT 2021


Now the deep learning kids have a model for nowcasting precipitation.


https://www.technologyreview.com/2021/09/29/1036331/deepminds-ai-predicts-almost-exactly-when-and-where-its-going-to-rain/
points to source
  https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-021-03854-z

They build a GAN (Generative Adversarial Network) that takes the last 20
minutes of weather radar (4 frames) and makes a probabilistic prediction of
the next 90 minutes of radar (18 frames).

Objectively and subjectively judged better than the existing ensemble
methods.  But not good enough on the extreme downpours, yet.

-- rec --
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