[FRIAM] Octogenarian Omnicron

[thompnickson2 at gmail.com]

Anybody,

 

Has you seen anywhere the number, Prob Omnicron|vaccinated+boosted or Prob [Omnicron + Hospitalization] | vaccinated+boosted ?  

 

Bayesian or otherwise?

 

I have seen the number Prob Omnicron| unboosted = 25x Prob Omnicron|Boosted.   But I have no idea of its provenance.   

N

 

Nick Thompson

 <mailto:ThompNickSon2 at gmail.com> ThompNickSon2 at gmail.com

 <https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/> https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/

 

From: Frank Wimberly <wimberly3 at gmail.com> 
Sent: Saturday, January 8, 2022 12:00 PM
To: Nicholas Thompson <thompnickson2 at gmail.com>
Subject: Re: Film

 

Multiple people have said that everyone will get infected but that we vaxed and boosted folks will have mild cases and that some might not know they had it.  Even among octos.

 

My slogan is "stay home as much as possible."  One of our tennis group who is 87 just left on a trip to Key West and Cancun.  He ignored my advice but at the last minute changed his second destination to Miami instead of Mexico.  He did it because of the quarantine requirement rather than fear of Covid.  I hear that Florida is exploding with cases.

 

Frank

 

---
Frank C. Wimberly
140 Calle Ojo Feliz, 
Santa Fe, NM 87505

505 670-9918
Santa Fe, NM

 

On Sat, Jan 8, 2022, 9:48 AM <thompnickson2 at gmail.com <mailto:thompnickson2 at gmail.com> > wrote:

Hi, Frank,

 

Well, we watch films on my computer, balanced on a pillow, itself balanced on Penny’s Left and my Right knee.  We are working through Rake (Amazon), bawdy, funny, painful, very well done, and the Beatles thing (Disney) , Get Back, both chaotic and serene, in some way, so we don’t have NetFlix right now.  But as soon as those are done, we will turn to you movie. 

 

I have done nothing more on Sober.  Have been wringing my hands about Omicron.  Seems like perhaps we octogenarians should perhaps locking down so as to delay our inevitable infection till after the peak.  

 

I spent about an hour this morning trying to come up with the breakthrough rate for we triple boosted folk.  The only statistic I could come up with was that boosting increased ones resistance to infection by 25x.  I don’t know how they could know that without knowing what I want to know, but they ain’t saying.  I am wondering if Penny and I should go into lockdown to delay the inevitable to after the hospitalization peak.  

 

Any thoughts? 

 

Nick Thompson

 <mailto:ThompNickSon2 at gmail.com> ThompNickSon2 at gmail.com

 <https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/> https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/

 

From: Frank Wimberly <wimberly3 at gmail.com <mailto:wimberly3 at gmail.com> > 
Sent: Saturday, January 8, 2022 8:02 AM
To: Nicholas Thompson <thompnickson2 at gmail.com <mailto:thompnickson2 at gmail.com> >
Subject: Fwd: Film

 

This is relevant to our discussion of are our sources of truth more reliable than "theirs".  You really should see it.  It's on Netflix.  

 

Why don't you get a small flat screen TV for watching Rachel and movies.  You wouldn't have to get TV service.  You just plug it into your computer.

 

Frank

 

---
Frank C. Wimberly
140 Calle Ojo Feliz, 
Santa Fe, NM 87505

505 670-9918
Santa Fe, NM

 

---------- Forwarded message ---------
From: Frank Wimberly <wimberly3 at gmail.com <mailto:wimberly3 at gmail.com> >
Date: Fri, Jan 7, 2022, 8:40 PM
Subject: Film
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <friam at redfish.com <mailto:friam at redfish.com> >

 

The film "Don't Look Up" came up in this morning's meeting.  We saw it this evening. I now see it was mentioned.  It's outstanding in my opinion. 

 

Frank

---
Frank C. Wimberly
140 Calle Ojo Feliz, 
Santa Fe, NM 87505

505 670-9918
Santa Fe, NM

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