[FRIAM] Octogenarian Omnicron

[Curt McNamara]

This site has the best info i have found:
https://yourlocalepidemiologist.substack.com/

       Curt

On Sat, Jan 8, 2022 at 1:05 PM <thompnickson2 at gmail.com> wrote:

> Anybody,
>
>
>
> Has you seen anywhere the number, Prob Omnicron|vaccinated+boosted or Prob
> [Omnicron + Hospitalization] | vaccinated+boosted ?
>
>
>
> Bayesian or otherwise?
>
>
>
> I have seen the number Prob Omnicron| unboosted = 25x Prob
> Omnicron|Boosted.   But I have no idea of its provenance.
>
> N
>
>
>
> Nick Thompson
>
> ThompNickSon2 at gmail.com
>
> https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/
>
>
>
> *From:* Frank Wimberly <wimberly3 at gmail.com>
> *Sent:* Saturday, January 8, 2022 12:00 PM
> *To:* Nicholas Thompson <thompnickson2 at gmail.com>
> *Subject:* Re: Film
>
>
>
> Multiple people have said that everyone will get infected but that we
> vaxed and boosted folks will have mild cases and that some might not know
> they had it.  Even among octos.
>
>
>
> My slogan is "stay home as much as possible."  One of our tennis group who
> is 87 just left on a trip to Key West and Cancun.  He ignored my advice but
> at the last minute changed his second destination to Miami instead of
> Mexico.  He did it because of the quarantine requirement rather than fear
> of Covid.  I hear that Florida is exploding with cases.
>
>
>
> Frank
>
>
>
> ---
> Frank C. Wimberly
> 140 Calle Ojo Feliz,
> Santa Fe, NM 87505
>
> 505 670-9918
> Santa Fe, NM
>
>
>
> On Sat, Jan 8, 2022, 9:48 AM <thompnickson2 at gmail.com> wrote:
>
> Hi, Frank,
>
>
>
> Well, we watch films on my computer, balanced on a pillow, itself balanced
> on Penny’s Left and my Right knee.  We are working through Rake (Amazon),
> bawdy, funny, painful, very well done, and the Beatles thing (Disney) , Get
> Back, both chaotic and serene, in some way, so we don’t have NetFlix right
> now.  But as soon as those are done, we will turn to you movie.
>
>
>
> I have done nothing more on Sober.  Have been wringing my hands about
> Omicron.  Seems like perhaps we octogenarians should perhaps locking down
> so as to delay our inevitable infection till after the peak.
>
>
>
> I spent about an hour this morning trying to come up with the breakthrough
> rate for we triple boosted folk.  The only statistic I could come up with
> was that boosting increased ones resistance to infection by 25x.  I don’t
> know how they could know that without knowing what I want to know, but they
> ain’t saying.  I am wondering if Penny and I should go into lockdown to
> delay the inevitable to after the hospitalization peak.
>
>
>
> Any thoughts?
>
>
>
> Nick Thompson
>
> ThompNickSon2 at gmail.com
>
> https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/
>
>
>
> *From:* Frank Wimberly <wimberly3 at gmail.com>
> *Sent:* Saturday, January 8, 2022 8:02 AM
> *To:* Nicholas Thompson <thompnickson2 at gmail.com>
> *Subject:* Fwd: Film
>
>
>
> This is relevant to our discussion of are our sources of truth more
> reliable than "theirs".  You really should see it.  It's on Netflix.
>
>
>
> Why don't you get a small flat screen TV for watching Rachel and movies.
> You wouldn't have to get TV service.  You just plug it into your computer.
>
>
>
> Frank
>
>
>
> ---
> Frank C. Wimberly
> 140 Calle Ojo Feliz,
> Santa Fe, NM 87505
>
> 505 670-9918
> Santa Fe, NM
>
>
>
> ---------- Forwarded message ---------
> From: *Frank Wimberly* <wimberly3 at gmail.com>
> Date: Fri, Jan 7, 2022, 8:40 PM
> Subject: Film
> To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <friam at redfish.com>
>
>
>
> The film "Don't Look Up" came up in this morning's meeting.  We saw it
> this evening. I now see it was mentioned.  It's outstanding in my opinion.
>
>
>
> Frank
>
> ---
> Frank C. Wimberly
> 140 Calle Ojo Feliz,
> Santa Fe, NM 87505
>
> 505 670-9918
> Santa Fe, NM
>
>
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