[FRIAM] Doxastic logic - Wikipedia

[Nick Thompson]

Yes, I agree.  That IS the interesting question.  Thanks for putting it so succinctly. 

So I leap across the chasm believing that I have a 70 percent chance of making the jump but knowing that I have a 30 percent chance of not making it.  I think James would argue that to the extent that one paid attention to the 30 percent, it is actually increased.  I.E., if you jump ambivalently, you are less likely to make the jump.  And that would be because an ambivalent jump is functionally different from a confident one.  For instance, to the extent that you prepare yourself to grab at the cliff as you miss,  you ill-prepare yourself to make the jump cleanly.  


Nick  



Nicholas S. Thompson
Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Biology
Clark University
http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/


-----Original Message-----
From: Friam [mailto:friam-bounces at redfish.com] On Behalf Of ?glen?
Sent: Friday, September 22, 2017 10:56 AM
To: FriAM <friam at redfish.com>
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Doxastic logic - Wikipedia

On 09/22/2017 07:20 AM, Nick Thompson wrote:
> All right.  I admit it.  I know ABSOLUTELY NOTHING about logic.

And that's not true, either. 8^)  You know more about logic than an overwhelming majority of people.  The trick is you're convinced of the unitarity and hegemony of some particular type of logic.  Lots of people feel that way, including many metamathematicians.  But lots of people also disagree.  C'est la vie?

> I was TRYING to write a tautology.  So I guess I should have written, "X is Y; therefore, X is Y.  Is THAT a tautology.   I know you have tried to explain this to me before.

Yes.  But I don't think this is a fruitful path for the conversation.  The fruitful path was seized upon by Eric, Marcus, and Roger.  I'd be interested to hear how you (and others) answer Roger's question:  "So when the actor believes in a probabilistic network of possible futures, updates those expectations according to each iota of evidence as it is received, and acts accordingly, is that belief or skepticism?"


--
␦glen?

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