[FRIAM] not exactly what I'd call "competent", but good anyway

[thompnickson2 at gmail.com]

I think I see an increase two increases in rate since memorial day.  I am guessing that one is due to memorial day, and the other, perhaps to the demonstrations. 

But how the hell are we to know.  We're talking about Texans, here.  (};-)]

Nick 

Nicholas Thompson
Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology
Clark University
ThompNickSon2 at gmail.com
https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/
 


-----Original Message-----
From: Friam <friam-bounces at redfish.com> On Behalf Of ? u?l?
Sent: Thursday, June 25, 2020 1:26 PM
To: FriAM <friam at redfish.com>
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] not exactly what I'd call "competent", but good anyway

The increased slope in Harris county starts early May. They announced "reopening" plans in late April. It seems to me to be more related to that than to the protests. While it's true the *spline* MODEL shows something of an inflection point in late May, it's just a model that uses the entire data set. To dig down into particular events like 4/27 or 6/2, you'd have to limit the X axis, I think.

As always do not take the model too seriously. Look at the data.

On 6/25/20 11:48 AM, Frank Wimberly wrote:
> Houston (Harris County) is really getting hammered.  Were there extensive demonstrations there 10-14 days ago?


--
☣ uǝlƃ

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