[FRIAM] high turnout and tight races?

[Frank Wimberly]

I'm saying that in this election there will be high turnout and not a very
close election.

---
Frank C. Wimberly
140 Calle Ojo Feliz,
Santa Fe, NM 87505

505 670-9918
Santa Fe, NM

On Wed, Oct 28, 2020, 5:59 PM uǝlƃ ↙↙↙ <gepropella at gmail.com> wrote:

> So, what about the question I asked? You have no opinion on whether high
> turnout negatively or positively correlates with narrow victories?
>
>
> On 10/28/20 4:52 PM, Frank Wimberly wrote:
> > I predict that Biden will win by a large margin and that the outcome
> will be clear on election night notwithstanding any outstanding uncounted
> votes.  Young people are voting in unprecedented numbers and are reportedly
> voting against Trump.  Similarly the elderly, who favored Trump over
> Clinton by 10+ percentage points in 2016 are favoring Biden over Trump by a
> similar margin, according to polls.
> >
> > The good thing about predictions is that they can be evaluated perfectly
> after the events have happened.
> >
> > Frank
> >
> > ---
> > Frank C. Wimberly
> > 140 Calle Ojo Feliz,
> > Santa Fe, NM 87505
> >
> > 505 670-9918
> > Santa Fe, NM
> >
> > On Wed, Oct 28, 2020, 5:20 PM uǝlƃ ↙↙↙ <gepropella at gmail.com <mailto:
> gepropella at gmail.com>> wrote:
> >
> >     From:
> >
> >     https://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2020/Pres/Maps/Oct28.html#item-7 <
> https://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2020/Pres/Maps/Oct28.html#item-7>
> >     "6. High turnout makes razor-thin victories, like the ones Trump
> notched in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania in 2016, much less likely."
> >
> >     Is that true? I've always heard that tight races lead to higher
> turnout, which would imply that high turnout would correlate WITH thin
> victories, not against them.
>
> --
> ↙↙↙ uǝlƃ
>
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