[FRIAM] FW: [EXT] Your Coronavirus Tracker

Sun Jan 17 12:30:49 EST 2021

Dear Mathematically Competent Colleagues,

See below. 

Do you agree that the population case rate divided by the population divided by the population death rate is equal to case fatality rate? If so, the case fatality rate in Santa Fe County is very low, a little over one percent whereas the case fatality rate in Hampshire County, Massachusetts, (where I have not been for a year but has a comparable population) is  little over 4 percent.  I tried to add King County Wa, where Glen is, because it was an early participant in the pandemic as was Massachusetts, but the tracker wont let me add new entries, today.  The case fatality rate in MA is a tad under 5%, if my calculations are correct.  In other words, if you catch covid in MA, with the world’s fanciest hospitals, you 4+ times more likely to die than if you catch it in New Mexico.  Now, I was tempted to attribute this to the hospitals: i.e, terminal cases were coming into MA hospitals from other states, but Hampshire County doesn’t HAVE any fancy hospitals.  

Hopefully this all because I am dividing reciprocals wrong.  Does [1/a]/[1/b] = b/a?

n

Nicholas Thompson

 <mailto:ThompNickSon2 at gmail.com> ThompNickSon2 at gmail.com

 <https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/> https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/

From: The New York Times <nytdirect at nytimes.com> 
Sent: Sunday, January 17, 2021 7:38 AM
To: nthompson at clarku.edu
Subject: [EXT] Your Coronavirus Tracker

  <https://nl.nytimes.com/q/vzG-j1eg17dcz3P61_nPkA~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh5sLHPVcDbnl0Qgpf_cc9BGDPKSXBUhRudGhvbXBzb25AY2xhcmt1LmVkdVgEAAAAAA~~> 

The latest numbers from New Mexico, Santa Fe County, N.M., Massachusetts, …

 <https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/OzmXHBF95LRKrGjdBtSwdg~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh5sLHP0TqaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMC91cy9jb3ZpZC1jYXNlcy1kZWF0aHMtdHJhY2tlci5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTE4NSZlbWM9ZWRpdF95Y3RfMjAyMTAxMTcmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MjYxMDkmbmw9Y29yb25hdmlydXMtdHJhY2tlciZyZWdpX2lkPTU3MDM2MDg3JnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9NDk1MzcmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPTFkYzZmMTVhMzBiZTJkNDcxMmZhZTVmMGU1YTlhNjc5VwNueXRCCl_9xz0EYM8pJcFSFG50aG9tcHNvbkBjbGFya3UuZWR1WAQAAAAA> View in browser| <https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/tfjriY9JCsjGOlJl5kAf8g~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh5sLHP0S3aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTE4NSZlbWM9ZWRpdF95Y3RfMjAyMTAxMTcmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MjYxMDkmbmw9Y29yb25hdmlydXMtdHJhY2tlciZyZWdpX2lkPTU3MDM2MDg3JnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9NDk1MzcmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPTFkYzZmMTVhMzBiZTJkNDcxMmZhZTVmMGU1YTlhNjc5VwNueXRCCl_9xz0EYM8pJcFSFG50aG9tcHNvbkBjbGFya3UuZWR1WAQAAAAA> nytimes.com

 <https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/OzmXHBF95LRKrGjdBtSwdg~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh5sLHP0TqaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMC91cy9jb3ZpZC1jYXNlcy1kZWF0aHMtdHJhY2tlci5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTE4NSZlbWM9ZWRpdF95Y3RfMjAyMTAxMTcmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MjYxMDkmbmw9Y29yb25hdmlydXMtdHJhY2tlciZyZWdpX2lkPTU3MDM2MDg3JnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9NDk1MzcmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPTFkYzZmMTVhMzBiZTJkNDcxMmZhZTVmMGU1YTlhNjc5VwNueXRCCl_9xz0EYM8pJcFSFG50aG9tcHNvbkBjbGFya3UuZWR1WAQAAAAA> 

January 17, 2021

The latest U.S. coronavirus data from the places that matter most to you.

New Mexico

Known cases are going down. The average number of new cases in New Mexico fell to 1,134 yesterday, a 5 percent decrease from the day before. Since January of last year, at least 1 in 13 people who live in New Mexico have been infected, and at least 1 in 720 have died.

ON JAN. 16

DAILY AVG. IN LAST 7 DAYS

PER 100,000

14-DAY CHANGE

TOTAL REPORTED

Cases

1,088

1,134

54

–3%

162,893

Deaths

36

25

1.21

–18%

2,912

Hospitalized

632

685

33

–11%

MAPS & CHARTS:   <https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/1Boobgzp2erEZmAiAXlgrg~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh5sLHP0TsaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMC91cy9uZXctbWV4aWNvLWNvcm9uYXZpcnVzLWNhc2VzLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MTg1JmVtYz1lZGl0X3ljdF8yMDIxMDExNyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yNjEwOSZubD1jb3JvbmF2aXJ1cy10cmFja2VyJnJlZ2lfaWQ9NTcwMzYwODcmc2VnbWVudF9pZD00OTUzNyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9MWRjNmYxNWEzMGJlMmQ0NzEyZmFlNWYwZTVhOWE2NzlXA255dEIKX_3HPQRgzyklwVIUbnRob21wc29uQGNsYXJrdS5lZHVYBAAAAAA~> NEW MEXICO

Did someone forward you this email?  <https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/OzmXHBF95LRKrGjdBtSwdg~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh5sLHP0TqaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMC91cy9jb3ZpZC1jYXNlcy1kZWF0aHMtdHJhY2tlci5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTE4NSZlbWM9ZWRpdF95Y3RfMjAyMTAxMTcmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MjYxMDkmbmw9Y29yb25hdmlydXMtdHJhY2tlciZyZWdpX2lkPTU3MDM2MDg3JnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9NDk1MzcmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPTFkYzZmMTVhMzBiZTJkNDcxMmZhZTVmMGU1YTlhNjc5VwNueXRCCl_9xz0EYM8pJcFSFG50aG9tcHNvbkBjbGFya3UuZWR1WAQAAAAA> Build your own daily Covid tracker.

United States

Known cases are going down. The average number of new cases in the United States fell to 224,499 yesterday, a 3 percent decrease from the day before. Since January of last year, at least 1 in 14 people who live in the United States have been infected, and at least 1 in 838 have died.

ON JAN. 16

DAILY AVG. IN LAST 7 DAYS

PER 100,000

14-DAY CHANGE

TOTAL REPORTED

Cases

201,732

224,499

68

+9%

23,813,966

Deaths

3,353

3,319

1.00

+27%

395,882

Hospitalized

126,139

129,008

39

+5%

MAPS & CHARTS:   <https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/OEGEH4uZx6jrklI8oSb5Bg~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh5sLHP0TkaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMC91cy9jb3JvbmF2aXJ1cy11cy1jYXNlcy5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTE4NSZlbWM9ZWRpdF95Y3RfMjAyMTAxMTcmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MjYxMDkmbmw9Y29yb25hdmlydXMtdHJhY2tlciZyZWdpX2lkPTU3MDM2MDg3JnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9NDk1MzcmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPTFkYzZmMTVhMzBiZTJkNDcxMmZhZTVmMGU1YTlhNjc5VwNueXRCCl_9xz0EYM8pJcFSFG50aG9tcHNvbkBjbGFya3UuZWR1WAQAAAAA> UNITED STATES

Santa Fe County, N.M.

Known cases are going down. The average number of new cases in Santa Fe County fell to 64 yesterday, a 9 percent decrease from the day before. Since January of last year, at least 1 in 17 people who live in Santa Fe County have been infected, and at least 1 in 1,600 have died.

ON JAN. 16

DAILY AVG. IN LAST 7 DAYS

PER 100,000

14-DAY CHANGE

TOTAL REPORTED

Cases

67

64

42

+5%

8,629

Deaths

3

1

0.76

–20%

94

MAPS & CHARTS:   <https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/1Boobgzp2erEZmAiAXlgrg~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh5sLHP0TsaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMC91cy9uZXctbWV4aWNvLWNvcm9uYXZpcnVzLWNhc2VzLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MTg1JmVtYz1lZGl0X3ljdF8yMDIxMDExNyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yNjEwOSZubD1jb3JvbmF2aXJ1cy10cmFja2VyJnJlZ2lfaWQ9NTcwMzYwODcmc2VnbWVudF9pZD00OTUzNyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9MWRjNmYxNWEzMGJlMmQ0NzEyZmFlNWYwZTVhOWE2NzlXA255dEIKX_3HPQRgzyklwVIUbnRob21wc29uQGNsYXJrdS5lZHVYBAAAAAA~> NEW MEXICO

Massachusetts

Known cases are going down. The average number of new cases in Massachusetts fell to 5,513 yesterday, a 4 percent decrease from the day before. Since January of last year, at least 1 in 15 people who live in Massachusetts have been infected, and at least 1 in 507 have died.

ON JAN. 16

DAILY AVG. IN LAST 7 DAYS

PER 100,000

14-DAY CHANGE

TOTAL REPORTED

Cases

5,799

5,513

80

+12%

465,726

Deaths

74

73

1.05

+3%

13,583

Hospitalized

2,197

2,211

32

–2%

MAPS & CHARTS:   <https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/iVpXGTrAwRwvueOi-sEViA~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh5sLHP0TvaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMC91cy9tYXNzYWNodXNldHRzLWNvcm9uYXZpcnVzLWNhc2VzLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MTg1JmVtYz1lZGl0X3ljdF8yMDIxMDExNyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yNjEwOSZubD1jb3JvbmF2aXJ1cy10cmFja2VyJnJlZ2lfaWQ9NTcwMzYwODcmc2VnbWVudF9pZD00OTUzNyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9MWRjNmYxNWEzMGJlMmQ0NzEyZmFlNWYwZTVhOWE2NzlXA255dEIKX_3HPQRgzyklwVIUbnRob21wc29uQGNsYXJrdS5lZHVYBAAAAAA~> MASSACHUSETTS

Hampshire County, Mass.

Known cases are going down. The average number of new cases in Hampshire County fell to 66 yesterday, a 6 percent decrease from the day before. Since January of last year, at least 1 in 32 people who live in Hampshire County have been infected, and at least 1 in 734 have died.

ON JAN. 16

DAILY AVG. IN LAST 7 DAYS

PER 100,000

14-DAY CHANGE

TOTAL REPORTED

Cases

65

66

41

+11%

4,952

Deaths

5

2

0.98

–35%

219

MAPS & CHARTS:   <https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/iVpXGTrAwRwvueOi-sEViA~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh5sLHP0TvaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMC91cy9tYXNzYWNodXNldHRzLWNvcm9uYXZpcnVzLWNhc2VzLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MTg1JmVtYz1lZGl0X3ljdF8yMDIxMDExNyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yNjEwOSZubD1jb3JvbmF2aXJ1cy10cmFja2VyJnJlZ2lfaWQ9NTcwMzYwODcmc2VnbWVudF9pZD00OTUzNyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9MWRjNmYxNWEzMGJlMmQ0NzEyZmFlNWYwZTVhOWE2NzlXA255dEIKX_3HPQRgzyklwVIUbnRob21wc29uQGNsYXJrdS5lZHVYBAAAAAA~> MASSACHUSETTS

Harris County, Texas

Known cases are going down. The average number of new cases in Harris County fell to 3,093 yesterday, a 3 percent decrease from the day before. Since January of last year, at least 1 in 17 people who live in Harris County have been infected, and at least 1 in 1,248 have died.

ON JAN. 16

DAILY AVG. IN LAST 7 DAYS

PER 100,000

14-DAY CHANGE

TOTAL REPORTED

Cases

3,110

3,093

66

+23%

281,422

Deaths

54

28

0.59

+104%

3,777

MAPS & CHARTS:   <https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/ppxvG31hgzXhNSrhz6LGXw~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh5sLHP0TnaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMC91cy90ZXhhcy1jb3JvbmF2aXJ1cy1jYXNlcy5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTE4NSZlbWM9ZWRpdF95Y3RfMjAyMTAxMTcmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MjYxMDkmbmw9Y29yb25hdmlydXMtdHJhY2tlciZyZWdpX2lkPTU3MDM2MDg3JnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9NDk1MzcmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPTFkYzZmMTVhMzBiZTJkNDcxMmZhZTVmMGU1YTlhNjc5VwNueXRCCl_9xz0EYM8pJcFSFG50aG9tcHNvbkBjbGFya3UuZWR1WAQAAAAA> TEXAS

Source: New York Times database of reports from state and local health agencies and hospitals. Population and demographic data from Census Bureau. Hospitalization data from the Covid Tracking Project.

14-day change trends are calculated with 7-day averages. Numbers may be revised to reflect improvements in data reporting. View  <https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/OzmXHBF95LRKrGjdBtSwdg~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh5sLHP0TqaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMC91cy9jb3ZpZC1jYXNlcy1kZWF0aHMtdHJhY2tlci5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTE4NSZlbWM9ZWRpdF95Y3RfMjAyMTAxMTcmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MjYxMDkmbmw9Y29yb25hdmlydXMtdHJhY2tlciZyZWdpX2lkPTU3MDM2MDg3JnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9NDk1MzcmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPTFkYzZmMTVhMzBiZTJkNDcxMmZhZTVmMGU1YTlhNjc5VwNueXRCCl_9xz0EYM8pJcFSFG50aG9tcHNvbkBjbGFya3UuZWR1WAQAAAAA> your tracker online for the most up to date figures. For more about how this data was collected and compiled see our  <https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/f6LnCXQlZcYGD9DI88bOXA~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh5sLHP0TraHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMC91cy9hYm91dC1jb3JvbmF2aXJ1cy1kYXRhLW1hcHMuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0xODUmZW1jPWVkaXRfeWN0XzIwMjEwMTE3Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTI2MTA5Jm5sPWNvcm9uYXZpcnVzLXRyYWNrZXImcmVnaV9pZD01NzAzNjA4NyZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTQ5NTM3JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD0xZGM2ZjE1YTMwYmUyZDQ3MTJmYWU1ZjBlNWE5YTY3OVcDbnl0Qgpf_cc9BGDPKSXBUhRudGhvbXBzb25AY2xhcmt1LmVkdVgEAAAAAA~~> F.A.Q. page.

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