[FRIAM] FW: [EXT] Your Coronavirus Tracker
Alexander Rasmus
alex.m.rasmus at gmail.com
Sun Jan 17 13:19:34 EST 2021
Nick,
You're making this harder than it has to be. The nyt gives you total cases
and total deaths directly. You can divide total deaths by total cases to
get the case fatality rate.
CFR for Santa Fe is 94/8629 = .011
CFR for NM as a whole is 2,912/162,893 = .018
CFR for Hampshire County is 219/4952 = .044
CFR for MA as a whole is 13,583/465,726 = .030
Best,
Alex
On Sun, Jan 17, 2021 at 10:31 AM <thompnickson2 at gmail.com> wrote:
> Dear Mathematically Competent Colleagues,
>
>
>
> See below.
>
>
>
> Do you agree that the population case rate divided by the population
> divided by the population death rate is equal to case fatality rate? If so,
> the case fatality rate in Santa Fe County is very low, a little over one
> percent whereas the case fatality rate in Hampshire County, Massachusetts,
> (where I have not been for a year but has a comparable population) is
> little over 4 percent. I tried to add King County Wa, where Glen is,
> because it was an early participant in the pandemic as was Massachusetts,
> but the tracker wont let me add new entries, today. The case fatality rate
> in MA is a tad under 5%, if my calculations are correct. In other words,
> if you catch covid in MA, with the world’s fanciest hospitals, you 4+ times
> more likely to die than if you catch it in New Mexico. Now, I was tempted
> to attribute this to the hospitals: i.e, terminal cases were coming into MA
> hospitals from other states, but Hampshire County doesn’t HAVE any fancy
> hospitals.
>
>
>
> Hopefully this all because I am dividing reciprocals wrong. Does
> [1/a]/[1/b] = b/a?
>
>
>
> n
>
> Nicholas Thompson
>
> ThompNickSon2 at gmail.com
>
> https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/
>
>
>
>
>
> *From:* The New York Times <nytdirect at nytimes.com>
> *Sent:* Sunday, January 17, 2021 7:38 AM
> *To:* nthompson at clarku.edu
> *Subject:* [EXT] Your Coronavirus Tracker
>
>
>
> The latest numbers from New Mexico, Santa Fe County, N.M., Massachusetts, …
>
> View in browser
> <https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/OzmXHBF95LRKrGjdBtSwdg~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh5sLHP0TqaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMC91cy9jb3ZpZC1jYXNlcy1kZWF0aHMtdHJhY2tlci5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTE4NSZlbWM9ZWRpdF95Y3RfMjAyMTAxMTcmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MjYxMDkmbmw9Y29yb25hdmlydXMtdHJhY2tlciZyZWdpX2lkPTU3MDM2MDg3JnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9NDk1MzcmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPTFkYzZmMTVhMzBiZTJkNDcxMmZhZTVmMGU1YTlhNjc5VwNueXRCCl_9xz0EYM8pJcFSFG50aG9tcHNvbkBjbGFya3UuZWR1WAQAAAAA>
> |nytimes.com
> <https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/tfjriY9JCsjGOlJl5kAf8g~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh5sLHP0S3aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTE4NSZlbWM9ZWRpdF95Y3RfMjAyMTAxMTcmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MjYxMDkmbmw9Y29yb25hdmlydXMtdHJhY2tlciZyZWdpX2lkPTU3MDM2MDg3JnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9NDk1MzcmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPTFkYzZmMTVhMzBiZTJkNDcxMmZhZTVmMGU1YTlhNjc5VwNueXRCCl_9xz0EYM8pJcFSFG50aG9tcHNvbkBjbGFya3UuZWR1WAQAAAAA>
>
> [image: Coronavirus Tracker]
> <https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/OzmXHBF95LRKrGjdBtSwdg~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh5sLHP0TqaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMC91cy9jb3ZpZC1jYXNlcy1kZWF0aHMtdHJhY2tlci5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTE4NSZlbWM9ZWRpdF95Y3RfMjAyMTAxMTcmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MjYxMDkmbmw9Y29yb25hdmlydXMtdHJhY2tlciZyZWdpX2lkPTU3MDM2MDg3JnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9NDk1MzcmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPTFkYzZmMTVhMzBiZTJkNDcxMmZhZTVmMGU1YTlhNjc5VwNueXRCCl_9xz0EYM8pJcFSFG50aG9tcHNvbkBjbGFya3UuZWR1WAQAAAAA>
>
> January 17, 2021
>
> *The latest U.S. coronavirus data from the places that matter most to you.*
>
>
> New Mexico
>
> Known cases are going down. The average number of new cases in New Mexico
> fell to *1,134* yesterday, a *5 percent decrease* from the day before.
> Since January of last year, at least *1 in 13* people who live in New
> Mexico have been infected, and at least *1 in 720* have died.
>
> *ON JAN. 16*
>
> *DAILY AVG. IN LAST 7 DAYS*
>
> *PER 100,000*
>
> *14-DAY CHANGE*
>
> *TOTAL REPORTED*
>
> *Cases*
>
> 1,088
>
> 1,134
>
> 54
>
> –3%
>
> 162,893
>
> *Deaths*
>
> 36
>
> 25
>
> 1.21
>
> –18%
>
> 2,912
>
> *Hospitalized*
>
> 632
>
> 685
>
> 33
>
> –11%
>
> MAPS & CHARTS: *NEW MEXICO*
> <https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/1Boobgzp2erEZmAiAXlgrg~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh5sLHP0TsaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMC91cy9uZXctbWV4aWNvLWNvcm9uYXZpcnVzLWNhc2VzLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MTg1JmVtYz1lZGl0X3ljdF8yMDIxMDExNyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yNjEwOSZubD1jb3JvbmF2aXJ1cy10cmFja2VyJnJlZ2lfaWQ9NTcwMzYwODcmc2VnbWVudF9pZD00OTUzNyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9MWRjNmYxNWEzMGJlMmQ0NzEyZmFlNWYwZTVhOWE2NzlXA255dEIKX_3HPQRgzyklwVIUbnRob21wc29uQGNsYXJrdS5lZHVYBAAAAAA~>
>
>
>
> *Did someone forward you this email? Build your own daily Covid tracker
> <https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/OzmXHBF95LRKrGjdBtSwdg~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh5sLHP0TqaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMC91cy9jb3ZpZC1jYXNlcy1kZWF0aHMtdHJhY2tlci5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTE4NSZlbWM9ZWRpdF95Y3RfMjAyMTAxMTcmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MjYxMDkmbmw9Y29yb25hdmlydXMtdHJhY2tlciZyZWdpX2lkPTU3MDM2MDg3JnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9NDk1MzcmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPTFkYzZmMTVhMzBiZTJkNDcxMmZhZTVmMGU1YTlhNjc5VwNueXRCCl_9xz0EYM8pJcFSFG50aG9tcHNvbkBjbGFya3UuZWR1WAQAAAAA>.*
> United States
>
> Known cases are going down. The average number of new cases in the United
> States fell to *224,499* yesterday, a *3 percent decrease* from the day
> before. Since January of last year, at least *1 in 14* people who live in
> the United States have been infected, and at least *1 in 838* have died.
>
> *ON JAN. 16*
>
> *DAILY AVG. IN LAST 7 DAYS*
>
> *PER 100,000*
>
> *14-DAY CHANGE*
>
> *TOTAL REPORTED*
>
> *Cases*
>
> 201,732
>
> 224,499
>
> 68
>
> +9%
>
> 23,813,966
>
> *Deaths*
>
> 3,353
>
> 3,319
>
> 1.00
>
> +27%
>
> 395,882
>
> *Hospitalized*
>
> 126,139
>
> 129,008
>
> 39
>
> +5%
>
> MAPS & CHARTS: *UNITED STATES*
> <https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/OEGEH4uZx6jrklI8oSb5Bg~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh5sLHP0TkaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMC91cy9jb3JvbmF2aXJ1cy11cy1jYXNlcy5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTE4NSZlbWM9ZWRpdF95Y3RfMjAyMTAxMTcmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MjYxMDkmbmw9Y29yb25hdmlydXMtdHJhY2tlciZyZWdpX2lkPTU3MDM2MDg3JnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9NDk1MzcmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPTFkYzZmMTVhMzBiZTJkNDcxMmZhZTVmMGU1YTlhNjc5VwNueXRCCl_9xz0EYM8pJcFSFG50aG9tcHNvbkBjbGFya3UuZWR1WAQAAAAA>
>
>
> Santa Fe County, N.M.
>
> Known cases are going down. The average number of new cases in Santa Fe
> County fell to *64* yesterday, a *9 percent decrease* from the day
> before. Since January of last year, at least *1 in 17* people who live in
> Santa Fe County have been infected, and at least *1 in 1,600* have died.
>
> *ON JAN. 16*
>
> *DAILY AVG. IN LAST 7 DAYS*
>
> *PER 100,000*
>
> *14-DAY CHANGE*
>
> *TOTAL REPORTED*
>
> *Cases*
>
> 67
>
> 64
>
> 42
>
> +5%
>
> 8,629
>
> *Deaths*
>
> 3
>
> 1
>
> 0.76
>
> –20%
>
> 94
>
> MAPS & CHARTS: *NEW MEXICO*
> <https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/1Boobgzp2erEZmAiAXlgrg~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh5sLHP0TsaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMC91cy9uZXctbWV4aWNvLWNvcm9uYXZpcnVzLWNhc2VzLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MTg1JmVtYz1lZGl0X3ljdF8yMDIxMDExNyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yNjEwOSZubD1jb3JvbmF2aXJ1cy10cmFja2VyJnJlZ2lfaWQ9NTcwMzYwODcmc2VnbWVudF9pZD00OTUzNyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9MWRjNmYxNWEzMGJlMmQ0NzEyZmFlNWYwZTVhOWE2NzlXA255dEIKX_3HPQRgzyklwVIUbnRob21wc29uQGNsYXJrdS5lZHVYBAAAAAA~>
>
>
> Massachusetts
>
> Known cases are going down. The average number of new cases in
> Massachusetts fell to *5,513* yesterday, a *4 percent decrease* from the
> day before. Since January of last year, at least *1 in 15* people who
> live in Massachusetts have been infected, and at least *1 in 507* have
> died.
>
> *ON JAN. 16*
>
> *DAILY AVG. IN LAST 7 DAYS*
>
> *PER 100,000*
>
> *14-DAY CHANGE*
>
> *TOTAL REPORTED*
>
> *Cases*
>
> 5,799
>
> 5,513
>
> 80
>
> +12%
>
> 465,726
>
> *Deaths*
>
> 74
>
> 73
>
> 1.05
>
> +3%
>
> 13,583
>
> *Hospitalized*
>
> 2,197
>
> 2,211
>
> 32
>
> –2%
>
> MAPS & CHARTS: *MASSACHUSETTS*
> <https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/iVpXGTrAwRwvueOi-sEViA~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh5sLHP0TvaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMC91cy9tYXNzYWNodXNldHRzLWNvcm9uYXZpcnVzLWNhc2VzLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MTg1JmVtYz1lZGl0X3ljdF8yMDIxMDExNyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yNjEwOSZubD1jb3JvbmF2aXJ1cy10cmFja2VyJnJlZ2lfaWQ9NTcwMzYwODcmc2VnbWVudF9pZD00OTUzNyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9MWRjNmYxNWEzMGJlMmQ0NzEyZmFlNWYwZTVhOWE2NzlXA255dEIKX_3HPQRgzyklwVIUbnRob21wc29uQGNsYXJrdS5lZHVYBAAAAAA~>
>
>
> Hampshire County, Mass.
>
> Known cases are going down. The average number of new cases in Hampshire
> County fell to *66* yesterday, a *6 percent decrease* from the day
> before. Since January of last year, at least *1 in 32* people who live in
> Hampshire County have been infected, and at least *1 in 734* have died.
>
> *ON JAN. 16*
>
> *DAILY AVG. IN LAST 7 DAYS*
>
> *PER 100,000*
>
> *14-DAY CHANGE*
>
> *TOTAL REPORTED*
>
> *Cases*
>
> 65
>
> 66
>
> 41
>
> +11%
>
> 4,952
>
> *Deaths*
>
> 5
>
> 2
>
> 0.98
>
> –35%
>
> 219
>
> MAPS & CHARTS: *MASSACHUSETTS*
> <https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/iVpXGTrAwRwvueOi-sEViA~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh5sLHP0TvaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMC91cy9tYXNzYWNodXNldHRzLWNvcm9uYXZpcnVzLWNhc2VzLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MTg1JmVtYz1lZGl0X3ljdF8yMDIxMDExNyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yNjEwOSZubD1jb3JvbmF2aXJ1cy10cmFja2VyJnJlZ2lfaWQ9NTcwMzYwODcmc2VnbWVudF9pZD00OTUzNyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9MWRjNmYxNWEzMGJlMmQ0NzEyZmFlNWYwZTVhOWE2NzlXA255dEIKX_3HPQRgzyklwVIUbnRob21wc29uQGNsYXJrdS5lZHVYBAAAAAA~>
>
>
> Harris County, Texas
>
> Known cases are going down. The average number of new cases in Harris
> County fell to *3,093* yesterday, a *3 percent decrease* from the day
> before. Since January of last year, at least *1 in 17* people who live in
> Harris County have been infected, and at least *1 in 1,248* have died.
>
> *ON JAN. 16*
>
> *DAILY AVG. IN LAST 7 DAYS*
>
> *PER 100,000*
>
> *14-DAY CHANGE*
>
> *TOTAL REPORTED*
>
> *Cases*
>
> 3,110
>
> 3,093
>
> 66
>
> +23%
>
> 281,422
>
> *Deaths*
>
> 54
>
> 28
>
> 0.59
>
> +104%
>
> 3,777
>
> MAPS & CHARTS: *TEXAS*
> <https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/ppxvG31hgzXhNSrhz6LGXw~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh5sLHP0TnaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMC91cy90ZXhhcy1jb3JvbmF2aXJ1cy1jYXNlcy5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTE4NSZlbWM9ZWRpdF95Y3RfMjAyMTAxMTcmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MjYxMDkmbmw9Y29yb25hdmlydXMtdHJhY2tlciZyZWdpX2lkPTU3MDM2MDg3JnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9NDk1MzcmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPTFkYzZmMTVhMzBiZTJkNDcxMmZhZTVmMGU1YTlhNjc5VwNueXRCCl_9xz0EYM8pJcFSFG50aG9tcHNvbkBjbGFya3UuZWR1WAQAAAAA>
>
>
>
> Source: New York Times database of reports from state and local health
> agencies and hospitals. Population and demographic data from Census Bureau.
> Hospitalization data from the Covid Tracking Project.
>
>
>
> 14-day change trends are calculated with 7-day averages. Numbers may be
> revised to reflect improvements in data reporting. View your tracker
> online
> <https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/OzmXHBF95LRKrGjdBtSwdg~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh5sLHP0TqaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMC91cy9jb3ZpZC1jYXNlcy1kZWF0aHMtdHJhY2tlci5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTE4NSZlbWM9ZWRpdF95Y3RfMjAyMTAxMTcmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MjYxMDkmbmw9Y29yb25hdmlydXMtdHJhY2tlciZyZWdpX2lkPTU3MDM2MDg3JnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9NDk1MzcmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPTFkYzZmMTVhMzBiZTJkNDcxMmZhZTVmMGU1YTlhNjc5VwNueXRCCl_9xz0EYM8pJcFSFG50aG9tcHNvbkBjbGFya3UuZWR1WAQAAAAA>
> for the most up to date figures. For more about how this data was collected
> and compiled see our F.A.Q. page
> <https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/f6LnCXQlZcYGD9DI88bOXA~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh5sLHP0TraHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMC91cy9hYm91dC1jb3JvbmF2aXJ1cy1kYXRhLW1hcHMuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0xODUmZW1jPWVkaXRfeWN0XzIwMjEwMTE3Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTI2MTA5Jm5sPWNvcm9uYXZpcnVzLXRyYWNrZXImcmVnaV9pZD01NzAzNjA4NyZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTQ5NTM3JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD0xZGM2ZjE1YTMwYmUyZDQ3MTJmYWU1ZjBlNWE5YTY3OVcDbnl0Qgpf_cc9BGDPKSXBUhRudGhvbXBzb25AY2xhcmt1LmVkdVgEAAAAAA~~>
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