[FRIAM] betting markets

[Frank Wimberly]

a) no
b) no


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Frank C. Wimberly
140 Calle Ojo Feliz,
Santa Fe, NM 87505

505 670-9918
Santa Fe, NM

On Mon, Nov 4, 2024, 11:56 AM glen <gepropella at gmail.com> wrote:

> Both Kalshi <https://kalshi.com/markets/pres/presidential-elections> and
> PolyMarket <https://polymarket.com/elections> skew heavily for Trump. I'm
> like ... 51% confident that Harris will win (barring legal shenanigans).  I
> figured I'd go ahead and participate. So I bought $50 worth of Harris
> "yes". And I've heard that there may be some rich people manipulating the
> market. It's not clear to me why they'd do that. But like Musk buying
> Twitter, it's clear that "disposable" income takes on a deeper meaning when
> you've got so much of it. But barring market manipulation: a) do y'all
> think the markets have more "information", whatever that means, than the
> polls? And b) are y'all participating in any of these markets?
>
> --
> ꙮ Mɥǝu ǝlǝdɥɐuʇs ɟᴉƃɥʇ' ʇɥǝ ƃɹɐss snɟɟǝɹs˙ ꙮ
>
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