[FRIAM] Preference Order Ecosystems: was Trumpism

[Frank Wimberly]

p.s.  I have wondered if the polarization we see goes back to the
razor-thin Kennedy victory in 1960.  Republicans were very unhappy and
resented the Johnson administration.  Eventually Nixon was president but
Watergate was a disaster.  They wanted revenge.  To make a long story
short, now Democrats investigate Republicans and vice versa leading to a
cycles of retaliation.  Is history professor John Dobson on the List?

-----------------------------------
Frank Wimberly

My memoir:
https://www.amazon.com/author/frankwimberly

My scientific publications:
https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Frank_Wimberly2

Phone (505) 670-9918

On Sun, Dec 30, 2018, 4:53 PM Frank Wimberly <wimberly3 at gmail.com wrote:

> Maybe an experiment that leads to a horrible results makes society
> (voters) decide, "We don't want to do that again".
>
> -----------------------------------
> Frank Wimberly
>
> My memoir:
> https://www.amazon.com/author/frankwimberly
>
> My scientific publications:
> https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Frank_Wimberly2
>
> Phone (505) 670-9918
>
> On Sun, Dec 30, 2018, 4:48 PM Ron Newman <ron.newman at gmail.com wrote:
>
>> Stepping back to 40,000 ft. for a second...
>>
>> '[Morality] is an evolutionary process in which societies constantly
>> perform experiments, and whether or not those experiments succeed
>> determines which cultural ideas and moral precepts propagate into the
>> future.'  If so, he says, then a theory that rigorously explains how
>> coevolutionary systems are driven to the edge of chaos might tell us a lot
>> about cultural dynamics, and how societies reach that elusive,
>> ever-changing balance between freedom and control.
>>
>> 'Witness the collapse of communism in the former Soviet Union...the whole
>> situation seems all too reminiscent of the power-law distribution of
>> stability and upheaval at the edge of chaos.  'When you think of it', he
>> says, 'the Cold War was one of these long periods where mot much
>> changed...But now that period of stability is ending...in the models, once
>> you get out of one of these metastable periods, you get into one of these
>> chaotic periods where a lot of change happens..It's much more sensitive now
>> to initial conditions.'
>>
>> 'So what's the right course of action?' he asks.  'I don't know, except
>> that this is like punctuated equilibrium in evolutionary history.  It
>> doesn't happen without a great deal of extinction.  And it's not
>> necessarily a step for the better.  There are models where the species that
>> dominate in the stable period after the upheaval may be less fit than the
>> species that dominated beforehand.'
>>
>> 'And now suppose it's really true that coevolving, complex systems get
>> themselves to the edge of chaos...if we imagine that this really carries
>> over into economic systems, then it's a state where technologies come into
>> existence and replace others, et cetera.  But if this is true, it means
>> that the edge of chaos is, on average, the best that we can do...You can go
>> extinct, or broke.  But here we are on the edge of chaos because that's
>> where, on average, we all do the best.'
>>
>> - Doyne Farmer, Chris Langton, and Stuart Kauffman, in that order, quoted
>> in "Complexity", M. Mitchell Waldrop, p. 319-322.
>>
>> I wrote a layman's blog post on a similar idea, "On the Importance of
>> Idiots", speculating that societal chaos might be moving the solution space
>> out of local minima into novel areas in the solution space, and that the
>> process might be solving for long-term resiliency of the system as a whole,
>> in opposition to short-term sanity.  I did filter it through Norm Johnson
>> at SFI to remove egregious errors, but make no claim for completeness or
>> rigor:
>> https://blog.ideatreelive.com/?p=481
>>
>> Ron Newman, M.S., M.M.E.
>> Founder, IdeaTreeLive.com <http://www.Ideatreelive.com> Knowledge
>> Modeling
>> Piano <https://www.ronnewmanpiano.com>
>> ============================================================
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>
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