[FRIAM] unstated motivation for prediction across "phase transitions"

[Marcus Daniels]

Glen writes:

< My guess (if there is a positive one) is the generally positive outcome will be that the less privileged of the world will significantly damage the pet cages of the privileged such that poorer people will spill enough blood of the rich people so that the poorer people will be in charge for awhile. >

I was going to say nah, the rich always win, but then I looked at the DJIA.  🙂

Marcus
________________________________
From: Friam <friam-bounces at redfish.com> on behalf of uǝlƃ ☣ <gepropella at gmail.com>
Sent: Monday, March 23, 2020 11:06 AM
To: FriAM <friam at redfish.com>
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] unstated motivation for prediction across "phase transitions"

That's a rare bit of optimism for you. >8^D If there is a good outcome, I doubt it'll be that one, merely because that's only 1 among many. My guess (if there is a positive one) is the generally positive outcome will be that the less privileged of the world will significantly damage the pet cages of the privileged such that poorer people will spill enough blood of the rich people so that the poorer people will be in charge for awhile.

This raises the specter of cycles hyped by stuff like this: http://peterturchin.com/cliodynamica/elite-overproduction-brings-disorder/

The idea being that the population will grow new gamer/exploiter/elites to take the place of the old elites. But despite the suggestion that history repeats, it doesn't. The new environment in which the new elites emerge will be markedly different from the old environment where the old elites emerged. The pet cages will be different, implying that the pets who settle into them will be different.

On 3/23/20 8:53 AM, Marcus Daniels wrote:
> Anyway, it occurs to me this health and financial crisis could have a good outcome.  It could jolt the country out of its decadence to address real problems that face us like healthcare and failing  infrastructure.  If it takes more than 4 trillion dollars borrowed at 0 percent interest, so what?

--
☣ uǝlƃ

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