[FRIAM] Ah Hah! moment.

[thompnickson2 at gmail.com]

All,

 

 

Thanks in part to Glen, I now see why doubling rate is no longer a good
measure of peril in a county or state.   A reason is that it is insensitive
to resurgence.  They look like they are having a resurgence in Washington
state. The recent curve of new cases is sharply upward.   But a
doubling-time standard wont reflect the resurgence because even though the
number of cases per day is increasing again, there are so many cases "in the
bank" that it takes a long time to double them.  Thank you, Glen, 'n
everybody.

 

Nick 

 

Nicholas Thompson

Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology

Clark University

ThompNickSon2 at gmail.com <mailto:ThompNickSon2 at gmail.com> 

https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/

 

 

-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://redfish.com/pipermail/friam_redfish.com/attachments/20200508/0e82eacb/attachment.html>