[FRIAM] I am accepting wagers

[Barry MacKichan]

Sorry, looks like it has been done 😳.

See 
https://www.seas.harvard.edu/news/2021/03/demystifying-vaccination-procedures?utm_source=SilverpopMailing&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Daily%20Gazette%2020210315b%20(1)

It might be interesting to see how close to useful this comes.

—Barry.

On 13 Mar 2021, at 13:05, Prof David West wrote:

> Biden promised a Federal Website to give citizens easy an accurate 
> access to vaccination appointments. Fully operational May 1, date that 
> all Americans wishing a vaccine/vaccination will be able to obtain 
> one.
>
> Assume 50,000 vaccination sites, 50, 15-minute, time slots per day 
> and, at that time, a maximum of 150 million clients.
>
> There are several people on this list who, I believe, could build this 
> Website over the course of a weekend, including UE (user experience) 
> elements like Google Maps for site locations, and install it on a 
> cloud server for volume scaling/descaling. Allow a month to collect 
> data - the only thing really problematic is a list of sites, 
> addresses, and operational hours (to constrain the daily calendar 
> slots).
>
> Total cost: < $25,000 ($500 hr - you folks deserve this pay rate - for 
> 40-50 hours)
>
> Now the wager: I bet that the feds will contract with a major software 
> development corporation for development. Contract will be in the range 
> of 5 and 10 million dollars; there is a 50% chance the site will be 
> late or deployed with partial functionality; there is a 20% chance 
> that it will be as dramatic a failure upon debut as was the 
> healthcare.gov site.
>
> Risk is two beverages of your/my choice — payable when next we can 
> share a physical presence.
>
> davew
>
>
>
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