[FRIAM] Breaking Bad and Free Will

[Steve Smith]

On 1/26/24 3:13 PM, glen wrote:
> I enjoyed this brief assessment of subjective probability/plausibility:
>
> https://home.snafu.de/erich/ibe_2023.pdf
>
> And I kindasortamaybe agree with their conclusion in favor of 
> "convergence":
>
> "Convergence: Traditional epistemic values can over time yield 
> evaluations of theories differing from those of subjective 
> plausibility and probability, yet theories that count as overall 
> epistemically best at a time must in finitely many steps revise to 
> theories that are most likely true given the available evidence."

I only felt half-able to parse through this set of esoteric 
arguments/assertions/discussions from the rarified world of Philosophy 
of Language and Value Theory?

Is it saying in "plain language" that starting with abstract evaluations 
of the quality of a theory/explanation/narrative, one often ends up 
settling on such things which do not align with common sense yet 
following a process of combining those abstractions with 
measurements/observations one can converge on something "closer to truth"?